Fiscal Year 2026
Capacity Development Activities
Financial Supervision and Regulation
Enhancing Supervision of Digital Banks
In October, METAC conducted a four-day workshop for the Central Bank of Egypt, enhancing supervision of digital banks with over 20 participants from licensing, on-site, and off-site teams. The sessions covered diverse digital banking models, licensing requirements, and emerging risks such as third-party, ICT, operational, and cloud computing vulnerabilities. Participants explored international supervisory practices, digital onboarding, conversion of incumbent banks, and exit strategies. The workshop also identified future technical assistance needs, supporting Egypt’s evolving digital finance regulatory and supervisory landscape.
Macroeconomic Frameworks
Macroeconomic Frameworks (June 15-26)
This was the second in a series of technical assistance (TA) missions to assist the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) in upgrading its Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS), including modernizing the CBE’s short-term forecasting tools and Quarterly Projection Model (QPM). The mission expanded the QPM with CPI disaggregation, introduced additional nowcasting models, and estimated the QPM parameters with Bayesian techniques.
Assisting the Central Bank of Egypt in upgrading its existing Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) (November 4-13)
This mission was the third in a series of ICD TA missions aimed at assisting the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) in upgrading its existing Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS). The CBE is aiming at modernizing its macroeconomic framework, including technical aspects of their short-term forecasting tools and Quarterly Projection Models (QPM). The April 2025 scoping mission found that the CBE’s FPAS practice and processes are generally well aligned with best international practices but recommended expanding the set of nowcasting models and extending the baseline QPM.
Assisting the Central Bank of Egypt in upgrading its existing Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) (January 28 - February 4)
This mission was the fourth in a series of ICD TA missions aimed at assisting the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) in upgrading its existing Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS). It aimed to advance the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)’s forecasting and analytical capabilities, with a particular emphasis on integrating an external sector module into the existing Quarterly Projection Model (QPM). First, the mission reviewed progress with the introduction of multiple sector Phillips Curves (food, non-food, and administered prices), the integration of the fiscal block, and the recalibration and Bayesian estimation of the models’ parameters, which were the main tasks of previous missions. Second, it included an external block to the existing QPM. Third, the mission team assisted CBE staff with producing model-based scenarios and risk analysis through hands-on sessions.
Public Debt Management
MTDS Formulation and implementation (May 25-29)
A joint METAC/World Bank mission trained staff from the Ministry of Finance’s debt management unit on the use of the medium-term debt management strategy (MTDS) framework, its Analytical Tool (AT), and the interpretation of the outputs and results. It also addressed shortcomings in the authorities’ practices for the design of their debt management strategy and provided guidance for its successful development and implementation. The mission provided an overview of the MTDS framework, including linkages with the fiscal framework and addressed the participants' knowledge gaps in MTDS design. Additionally, it trained participants in data preparation for use in the MTDS AT and in forward-looking debt portfolio risk analysis and exploring feasible alternative financing options and cost-risk tradeoffs, paying attention to the MTDS methodology.
Real Sector Statistics
Harmonizing National Accounts
In August, METAC conducted a mission to better align the methodologies of the Ministry of Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation and the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) for the upcoming national accounts rebase, tentatively scheduled for mid-2027.
Financial and Balance Sheet Accounts III (December 21-25)
The mission assisted the Egypt Ministry of Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation (MPEDIC) with the development of Financial Accounts and Balance Sheet Accounts (FABSA). This mission is part of ongoing support to the ministry’s staff understanding of the compilation tables and process.
